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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 22, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
0 - 1
Argentinos Jrs


Ortigoza (45'), Herrera (49'), Zapata (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reniero (4')
Mac Allister (42'), Carabajal (48'), Villalba (68'), Gomez (84')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between San Lorenzo and Argentinos Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
San LorenzoDrawArgentinos Juniors
36.99%28.69%34.31%
Both teams to score 45.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.19%60.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.15%80.85%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.47%31.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07%67.92%
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.73%33.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.11%69.88%
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 36.98%
    Argentinos Juniors 34.31%
    Draw 28.69%
San LorenzoDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 12.1%
2-1 @ 7.69%
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.98%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.69%
0-1 @ 11.54%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 6.35%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.31%

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