Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.