SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest Instituto win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Instituto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Instituto |
44.03% ( 0.27) | 27.92% ( 0.11) | 28.05% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 45.76% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.28% ( -0.54) | 59.72% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.97% ( -0.41) | 80.03% ( 0.41) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( -0.11) | 26.98% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.68% ( -0.15) | 62.32% ( 0.14) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( -0.6) | 37.33% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.89% ( -0.6) | 74.11% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 13.19% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 44.02% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.74% Total : 28.05% |
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