SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Instituto |
55.59% ( -0.99) | 25.52% ( 0.73) | 18.89% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 42.89% ( -1.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.42% ( -2.23) | 58.58% ( 2.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.86% ( -1.77) | 79.14% ( 1.77) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.85% ( -1.28) | 21.15% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46% ( -2.03) | 54% ( 2.04) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.39% ( -1.02) | 45.6% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.59% ( -0.81) | 81.41% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 14.98% ( 0.67) 2-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.3)4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.03% Total : 55.59% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.79)2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.53% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.57% Total : 18.89% |
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