Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 76.44%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 7.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 3-0 (11.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
Result | ||
River Plate | Draw | Instituto |
76.44% (![]() | 15.83% (![]() | 7.72% (![]() |
Both teams to score 40.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% (![]() | 44.22% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.41% (![]() | 66.6% (![]() |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.23% (![]() | 9.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.5% (![]() | 32.5% (![]() |
Instituto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.62% (![]() | 55.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.9% (![]() | 88.1% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
River Plate | Draw | Instituto |
2-0 @ 14.63% (![]() 1-0 @ 12.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 11.34% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.65% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.59% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.83% Total : 76.43% | 1-1 @ 7.44% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.56% ( ![]() Other @ 0.43% Total : 15.83% | 0-1 @ 3.2% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.38% Total : 7.72% |
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