SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Defensa y Justicia.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
32.83% ( -0.09) | 29.18% ( -0.05) | 37.99% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 44.14% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.39% ( 0.15) | 62.61% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.82% ( 0.11) | 82.18% ( -0.11) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% ( 0.02) | 35.25% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.99% ( 0.02) | 72.01% ( -0.02) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.17% ( 0.16) | 31.83% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.73% ( 0.18) | 68.27% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 32.82% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.18% | 0-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.98% |
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