Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Instituto | Draw | Racing Club |
36.21% ( 0.02) | 29.37% ( -0) | 34.42% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 43.82% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.91% ( 0.01) | 63.09% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.47% ( 0.01) | 82.53% ( -0.01) |
Instituto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.79% ( 0.02) | 33.2% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.18% ( 0.02) | 69.81% ( -0.02) |
Racing Club Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.6% ( -0.01) | 34.4% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.89% ( -0.01) | 71.1% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Instituto | Draw | Racing Club |
1-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.2% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.36% | 0-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.41% |
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