SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Instituto win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Instituto |
41.47% ( 0.04) | 28.24% ( 0) | 30.28% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.96% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40% ( -0.02) | 60% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.76% ( -0.01) | 80.24% ( 0.01) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( 0.01) | 28.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.74% ( 0.02) | 64.26% ( -0.02) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.27% ( -0.04) | 35.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.5% ( -0.04) | 72.49% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 12.77% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.23% | 0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 30.28% |
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