SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Instituto |
59.52% ( 1.19) | 24.2% ( -0.6) | 16.28% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 41.9% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.6% ( 1.2) | 57.4% ( -1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.78% ( 0.95) | 78.21% ( -0.95) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.86% ( 0.92) | 19.14% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.21% ( 1.51) | 50.78% ( -1.51) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.82% ( -0.07) | 48.18% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.64% ( -0.05) | 83.36% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 15.24% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.67% Total : 59.51% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.49% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 16.28% |
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