SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 65.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 12.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.12%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Banfield |
65.93% ( 0.4) | 21.66% ( -0.27) | 12.4% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 39.83% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.98% ( 0.67) | 55.02% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.71% ( 0.55) | 76.29% ( -0.55) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% ( 0.36) | 16.01% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.66% ( 0.66) | 45.34% ( -0.67) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.43% ( 0.18) | 52.57% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.62% ( 0.11) | 86.38% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 15.41% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 14.12% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.49% Total : 65.92% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.07% Total : 12.4% |
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