SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.39%. A draw had a probability of 32.5% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 29.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (6.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.18%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Banfield |
38.39% ( -0.96) | 32.48% ( 0.2) | 29.12% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 35.42% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.5% ( -0.31) | 72.5% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.21% ( -0.19) | 88.79% ( 0.19) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% ( -0.81) | 36.94% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% ( -0.81) | 73.73% ( 0.81) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.18% ( 0.46) | 43.82% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.02% ( 0.38) | 79.97% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 16.11% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.26)2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.86% Total : 38.39% | 0-0 @ 16.18% ( 0.18) 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 32.47% | 0-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.2)1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.74% Total : 29.11% |
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