SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.4%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
52.76% ( 1.44) | 28.46% ( -0.42) | 18.78% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 36.1% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.59% ( 0.26) | 67.41% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.46% ( 0.17) | 85.54% ( -0.17) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( 0.81) | 26.27% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.62% ( 1.08) | 61.38% ( -1.08) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.96% ( -1.06) | 51.04% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.63% ( -0.72) | 85.37% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
| 1-0 @ 17.92% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.43)2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.68% Total : 52.76% | 0-0 @ 13.4% ( -0.13) 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.29% Total : 28.45% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.77% Total : 18.78% |
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