SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 57.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
57.09% ( 0.21) | 24.91% ( -0.13) | 18% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 43.07% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.45% ( 0.33) | 57.56% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.66% ( 0.26) | 78.34% ( -0.25) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( 0.21) | 20.14% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.59% ( 0.34) | 52.41% ( -0.34) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.94% ( 0.09) | 46.06% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.23% ( 0.07) | 81.77% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
| 1-0 @ 14.86% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.34% Total : 57.08% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.48% Total : 18% |
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