SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 50.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.9%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Instituto |
50.11% ( 0.08) | 28.76% ( -0.09) | 21.13% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 38.16% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.63% ( 0.27) | 66.37% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.16% ( 0.18) | 84.84% ( -0.18) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.95% ( 0.17) | 27.05% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.59% ( 0.22) | 62.41% ( -0.22) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.3% ( 0.17) | 47.7% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.99% ( 0.13) | 83.01% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 16.86% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.63% Total : 50.09% | 0-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.13) 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.35% Total : 28.75% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 21.13% |
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