SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 47.72%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.06%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Banfield |
47.72% ( 0.02) | 29.32% ( -0.11) | 22.97% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 38.68% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.29% ( 0.37) | 66.71% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.93% ( 0.25) | 85.07% ( -0.25) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( 0.19) | 28.41% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.84% ( 0.24) | 64.16% ( -0.24) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.03% ( 0.32) | 45.97% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.3% ( 0.25) | 81.7% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 16.43% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.46% Total : 47.71% | 0-0 @ 13.06% ( -0.18) 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.36% Total : 29.31% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 22.97% |
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