Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Feb 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Guillermo Laza
Ortiz (23')
Fabbiani (19'), Celiz (29'), Ortiz (49'),
Herrera (63'), Machado (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Deportivo Riestra and Velez Sarsfield.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 38.83%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 30.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.95%) and 1-2 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.03%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 1-0 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result |
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
30.12% ( -1.64) | 31.05% ( 0.26) | 38.83% ( 1.38) |
| Both teams to score 38.85% ( -1.01) |
| 31.34% ( -1) | 68.66% ( 1) |
| 13.63% ( -0.66) | 86.37% ( 0.66) |
| 59.3% ( -1.86) | 40.7% ( 1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.71% ( -1.72) | 77.29% ( 1.72) |
| 65.51% ( 0.34) | 34.5% ( -0.35) |
