SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.32%) and 1-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Tigre win was 1-0 (12.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Boca Juniors |
32.74% ( -0.67) | 30.16% ( -0.13) | 37.1% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 41.56% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.28% ( 0.32) | 65.71% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.61% ( 0.22) | 84.39% ( -0.23) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.98% ( -0.31) | 37.01% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.2% ( -0.31) | 73.8% ( 0.3) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.98% ( 0.69) | 34.02% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.3% ( 0.74) | 70.7% ( -0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 32.74% | 1-1 @ 13.49% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.59% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.16% | 0-1 @ 13.57% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.19)1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.09% |
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