SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 43.83%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 26.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Banfield |
43.83% ( 0.12) | 29.56% ( -0.01) | 26.61% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 40.79% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.48% ( -0.02) | 65.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.75% ( -0.02) | 84.25% ( 0.02) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.11% ( 0.05) | 29.89% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.01% ( 0.06) | 65.99% ( -0.07) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.18% ( -0.11) | 41.82% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.72% ( -0.1) | 78.28% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 15.09% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.34% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.55% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.17% Total : 26.61% |
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