SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barracas Central win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barracas Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (12.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barracas Central would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
37.39% ( -0.05) | 29.74% ( -0.03) | 32.87% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 42.65% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.59% ( 0.09) | 64.41% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.52% ( 0.06) | 83.48% ( -0.06) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.86% ( 0.02) | 33.14% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.26% ( 0.02) | 69.74% ( -0.02) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.79% ( 0.1) | 36.21% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.01% ( 0.1) | 72.99% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.39% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.73% | 0-1 @ 12.19% 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 32.87% |
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