SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Barracas Central |
60% ( 0.64) | 24.23% ( -0.52) | 15.77% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 40.9% ( 1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.8% ( 1.54) | 58.19% ( -1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.15% ( 1.19) | 78.84% ( -1.2) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.73% ( 0.85) | 19.26% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.01% ( 1.38) | 50.99% ( -1.38) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.65% ( 0.76) | 49.34% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.8% ( 0.53) | 84.2% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 15.65% ( -0.51) 2-0 @ 12.89% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.57% Total : 59.99% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.57)2-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.45% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.77% |
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