Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 15.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Barracas Central
60% ( 0.64)	24.23% ( -0.52)	15.77% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 40.9% (

1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.8% (

1.54)

58.19% (

-1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.15% (

1.19)

78.84% (

-1.2)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.73% (

0.85)

19.26% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.01% (

1.38)

50.99% (

-1.38)

Barracas Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.65% (

0.76)

49.34% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.8% (

0.53)

84.2% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 59.99%

Barracas Central 15.77%

Draw 24.22%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Barracas Central
1-0 @ 15.65% ( -0.51) 2-0 @ 12.89% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.57% Total : 59.99%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.57) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.45% Total : 24.22%	0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.77%