SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.3%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Barracas Central |
61.83% ( 0.18) | 23.49% ( -0.16) | 14.68% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.55% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.65% ( 0.51) | 57.35% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.83% ( 0.41) | 78.18% ( -0.41) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( 0.26) | 18.27% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.68% ( 0.44) | 49.32% ( -0.44) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.61% ( 0.28) | 50.39% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.08% ( 0.19) | 84.93% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 15.64% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 13.3% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 61.82% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.44% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 14.68% |
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