SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 79.16%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 6.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.75%) and 1-0 (11.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Barracas Central |
79.16% ( -0.04) | 14.06% ( 0.01) | 6.78% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.63% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.47% ( 0.06) | 39.53% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.13% ( 0.06) | 61.87% ( -0.07) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.99% ( 0) | 8.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.78% ( 0.01) | 28.22% ( -0.01) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.26% ( 0.13) | 54.74% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.27% ( 0.08) | 87.73% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 2-0 @ 13.97% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.26% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 79.14% | 1-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 14.06% | 0-1 @ 2.64% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 6.78% |
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