SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 86.1%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 3.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.79%) and 4-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.75%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (1.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Barracas Central |
86.1% ( 0.19) | 10.09% ( -0.11) | 3.8% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 36.21% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.72% ( 0.04) | 34.28% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.82% ( 0.05) | 56.18% ( -0.05) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.5% ( 0.04) | 5.5% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.55% ( 0.13) | 21.44% ( -0.13) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.32% ( -0.36) | 61.68% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.51% ( -0.17) | 91.48% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 2-0 @ 14.26% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 13.79% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 10% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.81% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)7-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 86.08% | 1-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 10.09% | 0-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.02% Total : 3.8% |
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