SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 59.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Barracas Central |
59.97% ( -0.16) | 23.43% ( 0.01) | 16.6% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.81% ( 0.22) | 54.19% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.4% ( 0.18) | 75.6% ( -0.17) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% ( 0.02) | 17.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.52% ( 0.04) | 48.48% ( -0.03) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.17% ( 0.34) | 45.83% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.41% ( 0.26) | 81.59% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 14.07% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 59.97% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.42% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.41% Total : 16.6% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
