SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Colon |
33.62% ( -0.74) | 28.25% ( -0.24) | 38.12% ( 0.98) |
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.67% ( 0.76) | 59.32% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.28% ( 0.59) | 79.72% ( -0.59) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% ( -0.11) | 32.96% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.45% ( -0.12) | 69.55% ( 0.11) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( 0.98) | 30.09% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.77% ( 1.16) | 66.23% ( -1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.62% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.12% |
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