SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Lanus |
30.11% ( -0.11) | 26.87% ( -0.1) | 43.02% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.82% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.92% ( 0.36) | 55.07% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.66% ( 0.29) | 76.33% ( -0.3) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.75% ( 0.11) | 33.24% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.14% ( 0.12) | 69.85% ( -0.12) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( 0.27) | 25.37% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.83% ( 0.36) | 60.16% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.11% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.01% |
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