Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sarmiento | Draw | Gimnasia |
38.39% ( 0.24) | 29% ( 0.27) | 32.6% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 44.57% ( -0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.94% ( -0.97) | 62.06% ( 0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.22% ( -0.72) | 81.78% ( 0.72) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.7% ( -0.34) | 31.29% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.35% ( -0.4) | 67.65% ( 0.4) |
Gimnasia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.88% ( -0.87) | 35.12% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.13% ( -0.93) | 71.87% ( 0.93) |
Score Analysis |
Sarmiento | Draw | Gimnasia |
1-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.06) Other @ 3% Total : 38.39% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.59% Total : 29% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.14% Total : 32.6% |
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