Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Barracas Central	Draw	Union
23.46% ( 0.01)	28.51% ( -0.06)	48.03% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 40.94% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.91% (

0.17)

64.09% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.75% (

0.13)

83.25% (

-0.12)

Barracas Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.07% (

0.11)

43.93% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.93% (

0.09)

80.07% (

-0.09)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

0.11)

26.99% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.66% (

0.14)

62.34% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Barracas Central 23.46%

Union 48.02%

Draw 28.5%

Barracas Central	Draw	Union
1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.46%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.44% Total : 28.5%	0-1 @ 15.52% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 48.02%