Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 47.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.84%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.
Result | ||
Union | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
47.63% ( 0.41) | 29.81% ( 0.14) | 22.56% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 37.26% ( -0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.72% ( -0.68) | 68.28% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.88% ( -0.45) | 86.12% ( 0.45) |
Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.76% ( -0.13) | 29.24% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.81% ( -0.15) | 65.19% ( 0.15) |
Atletico Tucuman Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.66% ( -0.97) | 47.34% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.26% ( -0.73) | 82.74% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Union | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
1-0 @ 17.02% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.32% Total : 47.62% | 0-0 @ 13.84% ( 0.35) 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.32% Total : 29.8% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.43% Total : 22.56% |
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