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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Nov 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
AT

Union
1 - 0
Tucuman

Domina (75')
Del Blanco (45+2'), Domina (64'), Balboa (76'), Mosqueira (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ferrari (39'), Acosta (59'), Breitenbruch (64'), Castro (67')
Ferrari (56')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Atletico Tucuman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independiente 3-0 Union
Wednesday, November 6 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Sarmiento
Monday, November 4 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 47.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.84%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.

Result
UnionDrawAtletico Tucuman
47.63% (0.41 0.41) 29.81% (0.136 0.14) 22.56% (-0.545 -0.55)
Both teams to score 37.26% (-0.752 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.72% (-0.676 -0.68)68.28% (0.678 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.88% (-0.449 -0.45)86.12% (0.45 0.45)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (-0.125 -0.13)29.24% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (-0.154 -0.15)65.19% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.66% (-0.96700000000001 -0.97)47.34% (0.968 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.26% (-0.734 -0.73)82.74% (0.736 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Union 47.62%
    Atletico Tucuman 22.56%
    Draw 29.8%
UnionDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 17.02% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 10.46% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 47.62%
0-0 @ 13.84% (0.35 0.35)
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 2.93% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 29.8%
0-1 @ 10.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.76% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 22.56%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Independiente 3-0 Union
Wednesday, November 6 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 2-0 Newell's OB
Saturday, November 2 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 2-3 Union
Monday, October 28 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 0-1 Huracan
Sunday, October 20 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 0-2 C. Cordoba
Friday, October 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Union
Sunday, September 29 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Sarmiento
Monday, November 4 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-1 Tucuman
Friday, November 1 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Lanus
Monday, October 28 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 2-0 Tucuman
Friday, October 18 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-2 Tigre
Tuesday, October 8 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Tucuman
Monday, September 30 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division


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