SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Union had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.04%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Union |
56.33% ( 0.57) | 26.75% ( 0.04) | 16.92% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 37.09% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.47% ( -0.78) | 64.52% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.44% ( -0.56) | 83.56% ( 0.55) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( -0.1) | 23.34% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.7% ( -0.14) | 57.3% ( 0.14) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.38% ( -1.26) | 51.61% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.25% ( -0.85) | 85.75% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 17.52% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.3)2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.25% Total : 56.32% | 0-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.34) 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.32% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.49% Total : 16.92% |
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