Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Union had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.04%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Union
56.33% ( -0.07)	26.75% ( 0.18)	16.92% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 37.09% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.47% (

-0.63)

64.52% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.44% (

-0.45)

83.56% (

0.45)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.66% (

-0.3)

23.34% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.7% (

-0.45)

57.3% (

0.45)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.38% (

-0.52)

51.61% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.25% (

-0.35)

85.75% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 56.32%

Union 16.92%

Draw 26.74%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Union
1-0 @ 17.52% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.25% Total : 56.32%	0-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.27) 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.32% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 16.92%