SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barracas Central win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Union had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barracas Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Union |
39.22% ( -0.18) | 27.79% ( 0.05) | 33% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.11% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.29% ( -0.14) | 57.71% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.54% ( -0.11) | 78.46% ( 0.11) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( -0.17) | 28.66% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.53% ( -0.21) | 64.47% ( 0.21) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% ( 0.02) | 32.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.9% ( 0.02) | 69.09% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.22% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 33% |
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