To score three goals against a side as disciplined and organised as Estudiantes have been throughout this competition is a big ask of any side, and we have a hard time believing Goias, who are tied for the third-fewest goals scored in the Brazilian top-flight this season (17), could find a way to unlock that defence on multiple occasions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Goias had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
Goias	Draw	Estudiantes
34.63% ( -0.01)	27.64% ( -0)	37.72% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.81% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.03% (

56.97% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.13% (

77.87% (

-0)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.91% (

-0.01)

31.09% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59% (

-0.01)

67.41% (

0.01)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

0.01)

29.17% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

0.01)

65.11% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Goias 34.63%

Estudiantes 37.72%

Draw 27.64%

Goias	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.63%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.64%	0-1 @ 11.17% 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.72%