SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.53%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
50.39% ( 0.16) | 28.47% ( 0.06) | 21.13% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 38.76% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.41% ( -0.33) | 65.59% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.7% ( -0.23) | 84.3% ( 0.23) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( -0.08) | 26.53% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.26% ( -0.1) | 61.74% ( 0.1) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.77% ( -0.43) | 47.23% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.34% ( -0.32) | 82.66% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 1-0 @ 16.62% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 50.39% | 0-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.15) 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.37% Total : 28.47% | 0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 21.13% |
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