SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Belgrano had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Belgrano win was 1-0 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Estudiantes |
31.13% ( 0.33) | 28.54% ( 0.19) | 40.32% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 45.44% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.2% ( -0.58) | 60.79% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.16% ( -0.44) | 80.84% ( 0.43) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.48% ( -0.07) | 35.51% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.72% ( -0.07) | 72.28% ( 0.06) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% ( -0.58) | 29.52% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% ( -0.72) | 65.54% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 31.13% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.52% Total : 40.32% |
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