SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
51.74% ( 0.62) | 27.55% ( -0.12) | 20.71% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 40.38% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.76% ( -0.06) | 63.24% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.36% ( -0.04) | 82.64% ( 0.04) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( 0.26) | 24.81% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.6% ( 0.36) | 59.4% ( -0.37) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.71% ( -0.58) | 46.29% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.05% ( -0.45) | 81.95% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
| 1-0 @ 16.01% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.07% Total : 51.73% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.42% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.49% Total : 20.71% |
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