SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 42.62%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 27.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Belgrano |
| 42.62% | 29.65% ( 0) | 27.73% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 41.19% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.65% ( -0.01) | 65.34% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.87% ( -0.01) | 84.13% ( 0.01) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.52% ( -0.01) | 30.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.31% ( -0.01) | 66.69% ( 0.01) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.25% ( -0.01) | 40.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.67% ( -0.01) | 77.33% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 14.75% 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.47% 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.28% Total : 42.61% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.64% | 0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0)0-2 @ 5% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 1.3% Total : 27.72% |
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