SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Belgrano had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.48%) and 1-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Belgrano win was 1-0 (12.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Talleres |
32.13% ( 0.23) | 30.16% ( 0.08) | 37.71% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 41.46% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.22% ( -0.22) | 65.78% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.57% ( -0.15) | 84.44% ( 0.16) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.5% ( 0.05) | 37.5% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.72% ( 0.05) | 74.29% ( -0.04) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.34% ( -0.31) | 33.66% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.69% ( -0.34) | 70.31% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 32.12% | 1-1 @ 13.48% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.16% | 0-1 @ 13.74% 0-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.71% |
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