SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 57.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Rosario Central |
57.67% ( 0.46) | 24.68% ( -0) | 17.65% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 43.09% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.8% ( -0.57) | 57.2% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.94% ( -0.46) | 78.05% ( 0.45) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( -0.04) | 19.77% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.18% ( -0.07) | 51.82% ( 0.07) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.71% ( -0.9) | 46.29% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.06% ( -0.7) | 81.94% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 14.83% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.47% Total : 57.66% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.54% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.44% Total : 17.65% |
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