SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 44.14%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.49%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belgrano in this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
44.14% ( -0.2) | 30.78% ( -0.04) | 25.08% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 37.12% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.49% ( 0.21) | 69.52% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.08% ( 0.13) | 86.92% ( -0.13) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.22% ( -0) | 31.78% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.79% ( -0) | 68.21% ( 0) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.41% ( 0.35) | 45.59% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.6% ( 0.27) | 81.4% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 16.61% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 44.14% | 0-0 @ 14.49% ( -0.11) 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 30.78% | 0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.6% Total : 25.08% |
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