SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Talleres win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | River Plate |
32.31% ( -0.33) | 27.49% ( -0.03) | 40.2% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 48.81% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.25% ( 0.02) | 56.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.3% ( 0.02) | 77.69% ( -0.02) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( -0.22) | 32.54% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.93% ( -0.24) | 69.07% ( 0.25) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( 0.21) | 27.64% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.81% ( 0.27) | 63.19% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.3% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.2% |
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