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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 12, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Julio César Villagra
H

Belgrano
2 - 0
Huracan

Sanchez (33'), Diarte (66')
Rebola (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sauro (24'), Burgoa (62'), Hezze (90+3')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Huracan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union 0-3 Belgrano
Saturday, April 8 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 0-3 River Plate
Sunday, April 9 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35.61%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (12.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.

Result
BelgranoDrawHuracan
35.61% (-0.43 -0.43) 30.27% (0.132 0.13) 34.12% (0.292 0.29)
Both teams to score 41.41% (-0.326 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.05% (-0.397 -0.4)65.95% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.45% (-0.273 -0.27)84.55% (0.268 0.27)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87% (-0.503 -0.5)35.13% (0.497 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.12% (-0.529 -0.53)71.88% (0.524 0.52)
Huracan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)36.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (-0.012 -0.01)72.94% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 35.6%
    Huracan 34.11%
    Draw 30.26%
BelgranoDrawHuracan
1-0 @ 13.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 35.6%
1-1 @ 13.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.7% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 30.26%
0-1 @ 12.92% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.57% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 34.11%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Union 0-3 Belgrano
Saturday, April 8 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 0-0 Sarmiento
Tuesday, April 4 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 3-1 Belgrano
Sunday, March 19 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 0-0 Lanus
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 0-1 Belgrano
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 0-2 Tigre
Saturday, February 25 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 0-3 River Plate
Sunday, April 9 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 4-1 Guarani
Thursday, April 6 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Huracan
Saturday, April 1 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 0-2 Rosario
Tuesday, March 21 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Cristal 1-0 Huracan
Friday, March 17 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Estudiantes 2-1 Huracan
Sunday, March 12 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division


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