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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Mar 16, 2025 at 9.15pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
DY

Boca Juniors
vs.
Defensa

 
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-3 Boca Juniors
Saturday, March 8 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Estudiantes
Sunday, March 9 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw has a probability of 25.5% and a win for Defensa y Justicia has a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it is 0-1 (7.66%).

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawDefensa y Justicia
53.44% (-1.798 -1.8) 25.47% (0.756 0.76) 21.1% (1.044 1.04)
Both teams to score 46.08% (-0.653 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.97% (-1.628 -1.63)56.03% (1.631 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.88% (-1.337 -1.34)77.12% (1.341 1.34)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (-1.366 -1.37)21% (1.37 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (-2.181 -2.18)53.78% (2.183 2.18)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.34% (0.181 0.18)41.66% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.86% (0.16 0.16)78.14% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 53.43%
    Defensa y Justicia 21.1%
    Draw 25.46%
Boca JuniorsDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 13.65% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.365 -0.37)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.294 -0.29)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.201 -0.2)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 53.43%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.535 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 7.66% (0.504 0.5)
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.236 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 21.1%

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Form Guide
Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-3 Boca Juniors
Saturday, March 8 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Rosario
Friday, February 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Alianza Lima (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, February 26 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Aldosivi
Saturday, February 22 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-0 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, February 19 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Banfield 0-1 Boca Juniors
Friday, February 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Estudiantes
Sunday, March 9 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 2-0 Defensa
Monday, February 24 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Barracas Central
Saturday, February 15 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-1 Defensa
Wednesday, February 12 at 8.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Defensa
Sunday, February 9 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 2-1 C. Cordoba
Monday, February 3 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division


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