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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 22, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
2 - 2
Boca Juniors

Ramos Mingo (13'), Molinas (35')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Merentiel (20' pen.), Gutierrez (52' og.)
Gorosito (43'), Fernandez (77'), Miritello (77'), Aguirre (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Defensa
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Defensa y Justicia 1-2 Boca Juniors

The teams have endured relatively underwhelming starts to the season, but a win here could be the catalyst for an upturn in form. We are tipping Boca Juniors to come out on top in what should be a keenly-contested affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawBoca Juniors
36.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 28.63% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 34.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.44% (0.0039999999999978 0)60.55% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)80.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (0.007000000000005 0.01)31.61% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.98% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)68.02% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69.44%
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 36.65%
    Boca Juniors 34.72%
    Draw 28.62%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 11.96%
2-1 @ 7.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.65%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 11.56%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 34.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Defensa
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 Independiente
Tuesday, June 4 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 0-1 Cesar Vallejo
Thursday, May 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Defensa
Saturday, May 25 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, May 19 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Medellin
Wednesday, May 15 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Independiente 0-0 Boca Juniors
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, June 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 1-0 Boca Juniors
Sunday, June 2 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 4-0 Nacional
Thursday, May 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Talleres
Sunday, May 26 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 2-4 Boca Juniors
Monday, May 20 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division


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