SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.43%) and 2-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Boca Juniors |
37.01% ( 0.15) | 30.95% ( 0.04) | 32.05% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 39.52% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.92% ( -0.15) | 68.08% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.01% ( -0.1) | 85.99% ( 0.09) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% ( 0.02) | 35.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.88% ( 0.02) | 72.12% ( -0.02) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.13% ( -0.23) | 38.87% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.41% ( -0.22) | 75.59% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 14.28% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 37% | 0-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.07) 1-1 @ 13.5% 2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.94% | 0-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.55% Total : 32.04% |
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