SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
58.38% ( 0.98) | 24.19% ( -0.28) | 17.42% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 43.98% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.21% ( 0.08) | 55.79% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.08% ( 0.07) | 76.91% ( -0.07) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( 0.41) | 18.95% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.52% ( 0.67) | 50.48% ( -0.67) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.27% ( -0.82) | 45.73% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.49% ( -0.64) | 81.51% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 14.41% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.88% Total : 58.37% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.58% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.47% Total : 17.42% |
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