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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 48.65%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
48.65% ( -0.11) | 27.97% ( 0.05) | 23.38% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.16% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.5% ( -0.13) | 62.49% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.9% ( -0.1) | 82.1% ( 0.09) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% ( -0.11) | 25.94% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.06% ( -0.15) | 60.94% ( 0.15) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.93% ( -0.02) | 43.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.65% ( -0.02) | 79.35% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 15.07% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 48.64% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.03% Total : 23.38% |
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