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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2023 at 10.45pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
1 - 0
Boca Juniors

Fernandez (45+2')
Sant'Anna (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Weigandt (29'), Fernandez (37'), Bullaude (82')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensa 2-2 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, September 12 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-1 Tigre
Sunday, September 3 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawBoca Juniors
36.76% (-0.012 -0.01) 28.38% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 34.86% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 46.63% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.33% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)59.67% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.01% (-0.029 -0.03)79.99% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)31.1% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)67.43% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)32.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (-0.02 -0.02)68.82% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 36.76%
    Boca Juniors 34.86%
    Draw 28.38%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 11.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 6.86%
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.76%
1-1 @ 13.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.38%
0-1 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.86%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Defensa 2-2 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, September 12 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Sarmiento
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 2-1 Botafogo
Wednesday, August 30 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Platense 0-0 Defensa
Sunday, August 27 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Defensa
Wednesday, August 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Emelec
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-1 Tigre
Sunday, September 3 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-0 Boca Juniors (1-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Boca Juniors
Sunday, August 27 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Racing
Thursday, August 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-1 Platense
Saturday, August 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-1 Platense
Saturday, August 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division


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