SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 10.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.8%) and 3-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.57%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
67.05% ( 0.08) | 22.38% ( -0.05) | 10.56% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 33.25% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.98% ( 0.1) | 61.02% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.99% ( 0.07) | 81.01% ( -0.07) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% ( 0.06) | 17.75% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.57% ( 0.11) | 48.43% ( -0.11) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.43% ( 0.01) | 59.57% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.57% ( 0.01) | 90.43% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
| 1-0 @ 18.27% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 15.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 67.04% | 0-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.04) 1-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.45% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 1.21% Total : 10.56% |
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