Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.6%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.48%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Rosario Central
63.8% ( -0.02)	23.54% ( 0.01)	12.66% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 35.99% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.2% (

0.01)

60.8% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.16% (

0.01)

80.85% (

-0)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.16% (

-0)

18.84% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.71% (

-0.01)

50.29% (

0.01)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.34% (

0.04)

55.66% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.73% (

0.02)

88.27% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 63.79%

Rosario Central 12.66%

Draw 23.53%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Rosario Central
1-0 @ 17.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 14.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 63.79%	0-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.53%	0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 12.66%