SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Boca Juniors |
50.44% ( -0.17) | 26.04% ( 0.14) | 23.51% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.09% ( -0.47) | 55.91% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.98% ( -0.39) | 77.02% ( 0.38) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( -0.27) | 22.22% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( -0.41) | 55.65% ( 0.41) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.81% ( -0.23) | 39.19% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.1% ( -0.22) | 75.9% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.94% Total : 50.43% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 23.51% |
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