SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | River Plate |
36.73% ( -0.17) | 27.91% ( 0.02) | 35.36% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 48.05% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.06% ( -0.07) | 57.94% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.36% ( -0.05) | 78.64% ( 0.05) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( -0.14) | 30.26% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.58% ( -0.17) | 66.43% ( 0.17) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( 0.06) | 31.11% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% ( 0.07) | 67.44% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.72% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.36% |
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